Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004192 0.004413 0.004639 0.004889 0.005159 0.005441 0.005758
2025-08-10 0.003780 0.004103 0.004448 0.004848 0.005299 0.005794 0.006381
2025-08-17 0.003598 0.003988 0.004418 0.004931 0.005530 0.006211 0.007053
2025-08-24 0.003404 0.003834 0.004319 0.004912 0.005623 0.006457 0.007521
2025-08-31 0.003237 0.003695 0.004221 0.004878 0.005684 0.006653 0.007927
2025-09-07 0.003079 0.003553 0.004108 0.004812 0.005695 0.006781 0.008243
2025-09-14 0.002938 0.003424 0.004000 0.004744 0.005692 0.006883 0.008525
2025-09-21 0.002849 0.003353 0.003958 0.004751 0.005780 0.007100 0.008965
2025-09-28 0.002695 0.003194 0.003799 0.004601 0.005657 0.007031 0.009009
2025-10-05 0.002621 0.003131 0.003757 0.004598 0.005722 0.007211 0.009401
2025-10-12 0.002589 0.003119 0.003777 0.004674 0.005894 0.007541 0.010023
2025-10-19 0.002512 0.003046 0.003716 0.004640 0.005912 0.007657 0.010338
2025-10-26 0.002440 0.002978 0.003660 0.004610 0.005937 0.007786 0.010684
2025-11-02 0.002370 0.002910 0.003601 0.004574 0.005950 0.007898 0.011009
2025-11-09 0.002348 0.002905 0.003624 0.004650 0.006124 0.008250 0.011728
2025-11-16 0.002292 0.002852 0.003582 0.004633 0.006161 0.008400 0.012134
2025-11-23 0.002235 0.002795 0.003531 0.004601 0.006175 0.008513 0.012485
2025-11-30 0.002170 0.002727 0.003463 0.004541 0.006144 0.008554 0.012715
2025-12-07 0.002108 0.002659 0.003394 0.004478 0.006104 0.008578 0.012916
2025-12-14 0.002072 0.002628 0.003374 0.004484 0.006169 0.008770 0.013419
2025-12-21 0.001990 0.002530 0.003258 0.004346 0.006008 0.008592 0.013256
2025-12-28 0.001956 0.002498 0.003234 0.004343 0.006054 0.008750 0.013706
2026-01-04 0.001948 0.002502 0.003259 0.004413 0.006218 0.009109 0.014546